Cyprus vs Montenegro prediction and betting preview, 15 November 2026

Here is a data-driven look at Cyprus against Montenegro, scheduled for 15 November 2026 at 14:00 UTC in the UEFA Nations League (Soccer). We summarise the form of both teams, their previous meetings and the market odds, but only where real records exist. Treat it as background reading before you decide anything, not as a promise about the result.

Odds and implied probability

Current 1X2 odds are 2.90 for Cyprus, 3.30 for a draw and 2.30 for Montenegro. The three implied probabilities total 108.3%, which means a margin of 8.3% is built into the prices. Remove it proportionally and the market is saying 31.9% Cyprus, 28.0% draw and 40.2% Montenegro. Montenegro are the shorter price, so the bookmaker rates them the favourite.

Recent form

Cyprus have won 2, drawn 2 and lost 1 in their last 5 matches, scoring 6 and conceding 4, which is 1.2 scored and 0.8 conceded per match. The run, newest first: D W W D L.

Montenegro have won 4, drawn 1 and lost 0 in their last 5 matches, scoring 9 and conceding 5, which is 1.8 scored and 1.0 conceded per match. The run, newest first: W D W W W.

Recent results lean towards Montenegro, who won 4 of 5, while Cyprus won 2 of 5.

League position

Cyprus are in position 22 of 54 in the UEFA Nations League table with 8 points from 5 played (won 2, drew 2, lost 1; goals 6:4).

Montenegro are in position 4 of 54 in the UEFA Nations League table with 13 points from 5 played (won 4, drew 1, lost 0; goals 9:5).

Montenegro are 5 points ahead of Cyprus in the table.

Head to head

Meetings between the two sides in our data: 1. Wins for Cyprus: 0, wins for Montenegro: 1. The combined score total across those games is 3, an average of 3.0 per meeting. The most recent one finished Montenegro 2:1 Cyprus on 25 September 2026.

Full list of meetings

Facts used

These trend facts cleared our bar of at least 5 matches and an 80% hit rate. They describe the past and do not predict the next match:

• Cyprus have not lost by two or more goals in 5 of their last 5 matches
• Cyprus are unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 matches
• Cyprus have scored in 4 of their last 5 matches
• Over 1.5 goals in 4 of Cyprus's last 5 matches
• Over 9.5 corners in 4 of Cyprus's last 5 matches
• Montenegro are unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 matches
• Montenegro have not lost by two or more goals in 5 of their last 5 matches
• Montenegro have won 4 of their last 5 matches
• Over 2.5 goals in 4 of Montenegro's last 5 matches
• Both teams scored in 4 of Montenegro's last 5 matches
• Montenegro have scored in 4 of their last 5 matches
• Over 1.5 goals in 4 of Montenegro's last 5 matches

Bet angles from the data

Each angle below is shown only because the data supports it. They are leanings drawn from past matches and prices, not forecasts, and no outcome is guaranteed.

Match result (1X2): Montenegro

Montenegro are the market favourite at 2.30, an implied 40.2% chance once the bookmaker margin is removed. Supporting facts: Montenegro have won 4 of their last 5 matches.

Total: over 2.5 goals

The form data points to a higher total. Over 2.5 goals in 4 of Montenegro's last 5 matches. Earlier meetings averaged 3.0 in total, against a line of 2.5.

Both teams to score

The data leans towards goals at both ends. Both teams scored in 4 of Montenegro's last 5 matches.

Double chance (win or draw)

Cyprus are unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 matches. Montenegro are unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 matches. A double-chance bet covers a win or a draw, and the unbeaten run above is the data behind this angle.

Frequently asked questions

How this page is built

Results, tables and odds come from our match database (ESPN and football-data.org for fixtures and scores, The Odds API for prices). Implied probabilities remove the bookmaker margin proportionally. A trend fact needs at least 5 matches and an 80% hit rate. Text is generated from these fields with several phrasings, and a section is dropped when its data is missing.

18+. For information only, not betting advice. Gamble responsibly and never bet more than you can afford to lose.