Marseille vs Levski Sofia prediction and betting preview, 26 November 2026

Here is a data-driven look at Marseille against Levski Sofia, scheduled for 26 November 2026 at 17:45 UTC in the UEFA Europa League (Soccer). We summarise the form of both teams, their previous meetings and the market odds, but only where real records exist. Treat it as background reading before you decide anything, not as a promise about the result.

Odds and implied probability

The bookmaker prices Marseille at 1.45, the draw at 4.60 and Levski Sofia at 6.00. Turned into probabilities, those three prices add up to 107.4%, so the bookmaker margin is 7.4%. With the margin removed, the implied chances are 64.2% for Marseille, 20.2% for a draw and 15.5% for Levski Sofia. The market makes Marseille the favourite.

Recent form

Over the last 5 matches Marseille won 4, drew 0 and lost 1. They scored 9 and let in 5, averaging 1.8 for and 1.0 against. Results, newest first: W W W W L.

Over the last 4 matches Levski Sofia won 2, drew 1 and lost 1. They scored 4 and let in 3, averaging 1.0 for and 0.8 against. Results, newest first: W W D L.

Wins in this sample: 4 from 5 for Marseille against 2 from 4 for Levski Sofia, so recent results favour Marseille.

League position

In the UEFA Europa League table Marseille sit in position 31 of 36: 3 points after 4 played, with 1 won, 0 drawn and 3 lost and a goal record of 2:6.

In the UEFA Europa League table Levski Sofia sit in position 10 of 36: 7 points after 4 played, with 2 won, 1 drawn and 1 lost and a goal record of 4:3.

Levski Sofia are 4 points ahead of Marseille in the table.

Facts used

These trend facts cleared our bar of at least 5 matches and an 80% hit rate. They describe the past and do not predict the next match:

• Marseille have not lost by two or more goals in 9 of their last 9 matches
• Marseille have won 5 of their last 6 matches
• Marseille are unbeaten in 5 of their last 6 matches
• Marseille have scored in 5 of their last 6 matches

Bet angles from the data

Each angle below is shown only because the data supports it. They are leanings drawn from past matches and prices, not forecasts, and no outcome is guaranteed.

Match result (1X2): Marseille

The odds on Marseille are 1.45, which after removing the margin implies a 64.2% chance. Supporting facts: Marseille have won 5 of their last 6 matches.

Double chance (win or draw)

Marseille are unbeaten in 5 of their last 6 matches. A double-chance bet covers a win or a draw, and the unbeaten run above is the data behind this angle.

Frequently asked questions

How this page is built

Results, tables and odds come from our match database (ESPN and football-data.org for fixtures and scores, The Odds API for prices). Implied probabilities remove the bookmaker margin proportionally. A trend fact needs at least 5 matches and an 80% hit rate. Text is generated from these fields with several phrasings, and a section is dropped when its data is missing.

18+. For information only, not betting advice. Gamble responsibly and never bet more than you can afford to lose.