Bulgaria vs Iceland prediction and betting preview, 13 November 2026

Here is a data-driven look at Bulgaria against Iceland, scheduled for 13 November 2026 at 19:45 UTC in the UEFA Nations League (Soccer). We summarise the form of both teams, their previous meetings and the market odds, but only where real records exist. Treat it as background reading before you decide anything, not as a promise about the result.

Odds and implied probability

The bookmaker prices Bulgaria at 4.70, the draw at 3.55 and Iceland at 1.71. Turned into probabilities, those three prices add up to 107.9%, so the bookmaker margin is 7.9%. With the margin removed, the implied chances are 19.7% for Bulgaria, 26.1% for a draw and 54.2% for Iceland. The market makes Iceland the favourite.

Recent form

Over the last 4 matches Bulgaria won 1, drew 1 and lost 2. They scored 3 and let in 5, averaging 0.8 for and 1.3 against. Results, newest first: W L D L.

Over the last 4 matches Iceland won 2, drew 2 and lost 0. They scored 7 and let in 1, averaging 1.8 for and 0.3 against. Results, newest first: D W W D.

Wins in this sample: 2 from 4 for Iceland against 1 from 4 for Bulgaria, so recent results favour Iceland.

League position

In the UEFA Nations League table Bulgaria sit in position 39 of 54: 4 points after 5 played, with 1 won, 1 drawn and 3 lost and a goal record of 3:10.

In the UEFA Nations League table Iceland sit in position 8 of 54: 11 points after 5 played, with 3 won, 2 drawn and 0 lost and a goal record of 12:1.

Iceland are 7 points ahead of Bulgaria in the table.

Head to head

Earlier meetings on record: 1. Wins for Bulgaria: 0, wins for Iceland: 1. Scores added up to 3 in total, or 3.0 per game. The last of them: Iceland 3:0 Bulgaria, played on 3 October 2026.

Bet angles from the data

Each angle below is shown only because the data supports it. They are leanings drawn from past matches and prices, not forecasts, and no outcome is guaranteed.

Match result (1X2): Iceland

The odds on Iceland are 1.71, which after removing the margin implies a 54.2% chance. No trend fact backs this yet, so the price is the only support.

Frequently asked questions

How this page is built

Results, tables and odds come from our match database (ESPN and football-data.org for fixtures and scores, The Odds API for prices). Implied probabilities remove the bookmaker margin proportionally. A trend fact needs at least 5 matches and an 80% hit rate. Text is generated from these fields with several phrasings, and a section is dropped when its data is missing.

18+. For information only, not betting advice. Gamble responsibly and never bet more than you can afford to lose.