Luxembourg vs Estonia prediction and betting preview, 13 November 2026

UEFA Nations League (Soccer), 13 November 2026: Luxembourg meet Estonia at 19:45 UTC. Below you will find how each side has played lately, what happened when they faced each other before, where they stand in the table and what the bookmaker prices imply. The figures are read straight from our match database, and a section is left out when there is no data for it.

Odds and implied probability

The bookmaker prices Luxembourg at 2.40, the draw at 3.00 and Estonia at 3.00. Turned into probabilities, those three prices add up to 108.3%, so the bookmaker margin is 8.3%. With the margin removed, the implied chances are 38.5% for Luxembourg, 30.8% for a draw and 30.8% for Estonia. Luxembourg are the shorter price, so the bookmaker rates them the favourite.

Recent form

Over the last 4 matches Luxembourg won 1, drew 0 and lost 3. They scored 2 and let in 7, averaging 0.5 for and 1.8 against. Results, newest first: L L L W.

Over the last 4 matches Estonia won 1, drew 3 and lost 0. They scored 2 and let in 1, averaging 0.5 for and 0.3 against. Results, newest first: D W D D.

Luxembourg and Estonia have the same win rate in this sample (1 from 4 and 1 from 4), so recent results alone do not separate them.

League position

In the UEFA Nations League table Luxembourg sit in position 42 of 54: 3 points after 5 played, with 1 won, 0 drawn and 4 lost and a goal record of 2:8.

In the UEFA Nations League table Estonia sit in position 20 of 54: 9 points after 5 played, with 2 won, 3 drawn and 0 lost and a goal record of 3:1.

Estonia are 6 points ahead of Luxembourg in the table.

Head to head

Earlier meetings on record: 1. Wins for Luxembourg: 0, wins for Estonia: 1. Scores added up to 1 in total, or 1.0 per game. The last of them: Estonia 1:0 Luxembourg, played on 3 October 2026.

Bet angles from the data

Each angle below is shown only because the data supports it. They are leanings drawn from past matches and prices, not forecasts, and no outcome is guaranteed.

Match result (1X2): Luxembourg

The odds on Luxembourg are 2.40, which after removing the margin implies a 38.5% chance. No trend fact backs this yet, so the price is the only support.

Frequently asked questions

How this page is built

Results, tables and odds come from our match database (ESPN and football-data.org for fixtures and scores, The Odds API for prices). Implied probabilities remove the bookmaker margin proportionally. A trend fact needs at least 5 matches and an 80% hit rate. Text is generated from these fields with several phrasings, and a section is dropped when its data is missing.

18+. For information only, not betting advice. Gamble responsibly and never bet more than you can afford to lose.