Mirassol vs Atlético-MG prediction and betting preview, 14 November 2026

Here is a data-driven look at Mirassol against Atlético-MG, scheduled for 14 November 2026 at 21:30 UTC in the Brazilian Serie A (Soccer). We summarise the form of both teams, their previous meetings and the market odds, but only where real records exist. Treat it as background reading before you decide anything, not as a promise about the result.

Odds and implied probability

The bookmaker prices Mirassol at 2.20, the draw at 3.40 and Atlético-MG at 3.25. Turned into probabilities, those three prices add up to 105.6%, so the bookmaker margin is 5.6%. With the margin removed, the implied chances are 43.0% for Mirassol, 27.8% for a draw and 29.1% for Atlético-MG. Mirassol are the shorter price, so the bookmaker rates them the favourite.

Recent form

Over the last 5 matches Mirassol won 2, drew 1 and lost 2. They scored 5 and let in 5, averaging 1.0 for and 1.0 against. Results, newest first: W L D W L.

Over the last 5 matches Atlético-MG won 1, drew 0 and lost 4. They scored 3 and let in 7, averaging 0.6 for and 1.4 against. Results, newest first: L L L L W.

Wins in this sample: 2 from 5 for Mirassol against 1 from 5 for Atlético-MG, so recent results favour Mirassol.

League position

In the Brazilian Serie A table Mirassol sit in position 14 of 20: 41 points after 35 played, with 10 won, 11 drawn and 14 lost and a goal record of 39:48.

In the Brazilian Serie A table Atlético-MG sit in position 7 of 20: 51 points after 35 played, with 14 won, 9 drawn and 12 lost and a goal record of 44:40.

Atlético-MG are 10 points ahead of Mirassol in the table.

Facts used

These trend facts cleared our bar of at least 5 matches and an 80% hit rate. They describe the past and do not predict the next match:

• Under 2.5 goals in 6 of Mirassol's last 7 matches
• Over 1.5 goals in 6 of Mirassol's last 7 matches
• Mirassol have not lost by two or more goals in 6 of their last 7 matches
• Atlético-MG have not lost by two or more goals in 7 of their last 7 home matches
• Over 9.5 corners in 6 of Atlético-MG's last 7 home matches
• Atlético-MG are unbeaten in 6 of their last 7 home matches
• Atlético-MG have scored in 6 of their last 7 home matches
• Atlético-MG have lost 4 of their last 5 matches
• Under 2.5 goals in 4 of Atlético-MG's last 5 matches
• Atlético-MG have won 4 of their last 5 home matches

Bet angles from the data

Each angle below is shown only because the data supports it. They are leanings drawn from past matches and prices, not forecasts, and no outcome is guaranteed.

Match result (1X2): Mirassol

The odds on Mirassol are 2.20, which after removing the margin implies a 43.0% chance. Supporting facts: Atlético-MG have lost 4 of their last 5 matches.

Total: under 2.5 goals

The recent data leans towards a tight game. Under 2.5 goals in 6 of Mirassol's last 7 matches. Under 2.5 goals in 4 of Atlético-MG's last 5 matches.

Double chance (win or draw)

Atlético-MG are unbeaten in 6 of their last 7 home matches. A double-chance bet covers a win or a draw, and the unbeaten run above is the data behind this angle.

Frequently asked questions

How this page is built

Results, tables and odds come from our match database (ESPN and football-data.org for fixtures and scores, The Odds API for prices). Implied probabilities remove the bookmaker margin proportionally. A trend fact needs at least 5 matches and an 80% hit rate. Text is generated from these fields with several phrasings, and a section is dropped when its data is missing.

18+. For information only, not betting advice. Gamble responsibly and never bet more than you can afford to lose.