Norway vs Wales prediction and betting preview, 14 November 2026
UEFA Nations League · Soccer · 14 November 2026, 17:00 UTC
Norway take on Wales in the UEFA Nations League (Soccer) on 14 November 2026, with the start set for 17:00 UTC. This preview is assembled from the records we hold: recent results, earlier meetings, the league table and bookmaker odds where they exist. Every number on the page comes from those records and nothing is estimated beyond them.
Odds and implied probability
The bookmaker prices Norway at 1.26, the draw at 5.75 and Wales at 8.50. Turned into probabilities, those three prices add up to 108.5%, so the bookmaker margin is 8.5%. With the margin removed, the implied chances are 73.1% for Norway, 16.0% for a draw and 10.8% for Wales. On these prices Norway are the favourite.
Recent form
Over the last 4 matches Norway won 1, drew 0 and lost 3. They scored 6 and let in 8, averaging 1.5 for and 2.0 against. Results, newest first: L L L W.
Over the last 4 matches Wales won 1, drew 0 and lost 3. They scored 2 and let in 5, averaging 0.5 for and 1.3 against. Results, newest first: L W L L.
Norway and Wales have the same win rate in this sample (1 from 4 and 1 from 4), so recent results alone do not separate them.
League position
In the UEFA Nations League table Norway sit in position 30 of 54: 6 points after 5 played, with 2 won, 0 drawn and 3 lost and a goal record of 9:9.
In the UEFA Nations League table Wales sit in position 40 of 54: 3 points after 5 played, with 1 won, 0 drawn and 4 lost and a goal record of 3:8.
Norway are 3 points ahead of Wales in the table.
Head to head
Earlier meetings on record: 1. Wins for Norway: 0, wins for Wales: 1. Scores added up to 3 in total, or 3.0 per game. The last of them: Wales 2:1 Norway, played on 1 October 2026.
Bet angles from the data
Each angle below is shown only because the data supports it. They are leanings drawn from past matches and prices, not forecasts, and no outcome is guaranteed.
Match result (1X2): Norway
The odds on Norway are 1.26, which after removing the margin implies a 73.1% chance. No trend fact backs this yet, so the price is the only support.
Frequently asked questions
When is Norway vs Wales?
Norway play Wales on 14 November 2026, starting at 17:00 UTC, in the UEFA Nations League (Soccer).
Who is the favourite in Norway vs Wales?
According to the odds, Norway are the favourite at 1.26. After the bookmaker margin is removed that is an implied chance of 73.1%, against 10.8% for Wales.
How have Norway and Wales played recently?
Norway won 1, drew 0 and lost 3 in their last 4 matches, and Wales won 1, drew 0 and lost 3 in their last 4.
Have Norway and Wales met before?
Yes. Previous meetings in our data: 1. Wins for Norway: 0, wins for Wales: 1. The latest was Wales 2:1 Norway on 1 October 2026.
Is this a guaranteed tip?
No. Sport is unpredictable and no result is guaranteed. This page shows facts from past matches and the probabilities implied by bookmaker odds, nothing more. Never stake money you cannot afford to lose.
How this page is built
Results, tables and odds come from our match database (ESPN and football-data.org for fixtures and scores, The Odds API for prices). Implied probabilities remove the bookmaker margin proportionally. A trend fact needs at least 5 matches and an 80% hit rate. Text is generated from these fields with several phrasings, and a section is dropped when its data is missing.
18+. For information only, not betting advice. Gamble responsibly and never bet more than you can afford to lose.
Will this prediction come true?