Belgium vs Italy prediction and betting preview, 15 November 2026

Here is a data-driven look at Belgium against Italy, scheduled for 15 November 2026 at 19:45 UTC in the UEFA Nations League (Soccer). We summarise the form of both teams, their previous meetings and the market odds, but only where real records exist. Treat it as background reading before you decide anything, not as a promise about the result.

Recent form

Belgium have won 3, drawn 0 and lost 2 in their last 5 matches, scoring 8 and conceding 6, which is 1.6 scored and 1.2 conceded per match. The run, newest first: W L W L W.

Italy have won 3, drawn 1 and lost 1 in their last 5 matches, scoring 11 and conceding 6, which is 2.2 scored and 1.2 conceded per match. The run, newest first: W W D W L.

Belgium and Italy have the same win rate in this sample (3 from 5 and 3 from 5), so recent results alone do not separate them.

League position

Belgium are in position 19 of 54 in the UEFA Nations League table with 9 points from 5 played (won 3, drew 0, lost 2; goals 8:6).

Italy are in position 14 of 54 in the UEFA Nations League table with 10 points from 5 played (won 3, drew 1, lost 1; goals 11:6).

Italy are 1 points ahead of Belgium in the table.

Head to head

Meetings between the two sides in our data: 1. Wins for Belgium: 1, wins for Italy: 0. The combined score total across those games is 2, an average of 2.0 per meeting. The most recent one finished Italy 0:2 Belgium on 25 September 2026.

Facts used

These trend facts cleared our bar of at least 5 matches and an 80% hit rate. They describe the past and do not predict the next match:

• Belgium have scored in 4 of their last 5 matches
• Over 1.5 goals in 4 of Belgium's last 5 matches
• Belgium have not lost by two or more goals in 4 of their last 5 matches
• Over 1.5 goals in 5 of Italy's last 5 matches
• Italy are unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 matches
• Both teams scored in 4 of Italy's last 5 matches
• Italy have scored in 4 of their last 5 matches
• Italy have not lost by two or more goals in 4 of their last 5 matches

Bet angles from the data

Each angle below is shown only because the data supports it. They are leanings drawn from past matches and prices, not forecasts, and no outcome is guaranteed.

Both teams to score

The data leans towards goals at both ends. Both teams scored in 4 of Italy's last 5 matches.

Double chance (win or draw)

Italy are unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 matches. A double-chance bet covers a win or a draw, and the unbeaten run above is the data behind this angle.

Frequently asked questions

How this page is built

Results, tables and odds come from our match database (ESPN and football-data.org for fixtures and scores, The Odds API for prices). Implied probabilities remove the bookmaker margin proportionally. A trend fact needs at least 5 matches and an 80% hit rate. Text is generated from these fields with several phrasings, and a section is dropped when its data is missing.

18+. For information only, not betting advice. Gamble responsibly and never bet more than you can afford to lose.