Spain vs England prediction and betting preview, 15 November 2026
UEFA Nations League · Soccer · 15 November 2026, 19:45 UTC
Spain take on England in the UEFA Nations League (Soccer) on 15 November 2026, with the start set for 19:45 UTC. This preview is assembled from the records we hold: recent results, earlier meetings, the league table and bookmaker odds where they exist. Every number on the page comes from those records and nothing is estimated beyond them.
Odds and implied probability
Current 1X2 odds are 1.74 for Spain, 3.85 for a draw and 4.00 for England. The three implied probabilities total 108.4%, which means a margin of 8.4% is built into the prices. Remove it proportionally and the market is saying 53.0% Spain, 24.0% draw and 23.1% England. On these prices Spain are the favourite.
Recent form
Spain have won 5, drawn 0 and lost 0 in their last 5 matches, scoring 14 and conceding 5, which is 2.8 scored and 1.0 conceded per match. The run, newest first: W W W W W.
England have won 4, drawn 0 and lost 1 in their last 5 matches, scoring 16 and conceding 4, which is 3.2 scored and 0.8 conceded per match. The run, newest first: W W W W L.
Recent results lean towards Spain, who won 5 of 5, while England won 4 of 5.
League position
Spain are in position 1 of 54 in the UEFA Nations League table with 15 points from 5 played (won 5, drew 0, lost 0; goals 14:5).
England are in position 5 of 54 in the UEFA Nations League table with 12 points from 5 played (won 4, drew 0, lost 1; goals 16:4).
Spain are 3 points ahead of England in the table.
Head to head
Meetings between the two sides in our data: 1. Wins for Spain: 1, wins for England: 0. The combined score total across those games is 5, an average of 5.0 per meeting. The most recent one finished England 2:3 Spain on 26 September 2026.
Facts used
These trend facts cleared our bar of at least 5 matches and an 80% hit rate. They describe the past and do not predict the next match:
- Spain have won 5 of their last 5 matches
- Spain are unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 matches
- Spain have scored in 5 of their last 5 matches
- Over 1.5 goals in 5 of Spain's last 5 matches
- Spain have not lost by two or more goals in 5 of their last 5 matches
- Over 2.5 goals in 4 of Spain's last 5 matches
- Both teams scored in 4 of Spain's last 5 matches
- England have scored in 5 of their last 5 matches
- Over 1.5 goals in 5 of England's last 5 matches
- England have not lost by two or more goals in 5 of their last 5 matches
- England have won 4 of their last 5 matches
- England are unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 matches
- Over 2.5 goals in 4 of England's last 5 matches
Bet angles from the data
Each angle below is shown only because the data supports it. They are leanings drawn from past matches and prices, not forecasts, and no outcome is guaranteed.
Match result (1X2): Spain
Spain are the market favourite at 1.74, an implied 53.0% chance once the bookmaker margin is removed. Supporting facts: Spain have won 5 of their last 5 matches.
Total: over 2.5 goals
The form data points to a higher total. Over 2.5 goals in 4 of Spain's last 5 matches. Over 2.5 goals in 4 of England's last 5 matches. Earlier meetings averaged 5.0 in total, against a line of 2.5.
Both teams to score
The data leans towards goals at both ends. Both teams scored in 4 of Spain's last 5 matches.
Double chance (win or draw)
Spain are unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 matches. England are unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 matches. A double-chance bet covers a win or a draw, and the unbeaten run above is the data behind this angle.
Frequently asked questions
When is Spain vs England?
Spain play England on 15 November 2026, starting at 19:45 UTC, in the UEFA Nations League (Soccer).
Who is the favourite in Spain vs England?
According to the odds, Spain are the favourite at 1.74. After the bookmaker margin is removed that is an implied chance of 53.0%, against 23.1% for England.
How have Spain and England played recently?
Spain won 5, drew 0 and lost 0 in their last 5 matches, and England won 4, drew 0 and lost 1 in their last 5.
Have Spain and England met before?
Yes. Previous meetings in our data: 1. Wins for Spain: 1, wins for England: 0. The latest was England 2:3 Spain on 26 September 2026.
Is this a guaranteed tip?
No. Sport is unpredictable and no result is guaranteed. This page shows facts from past matches and the probabilities implied by bookmaker odds, nothing more. Never stake money you cannot afford to lose.
How this page is built
Results, tables and odds come from our match database (ESPN and football-data.org for fixtures and scores, The Odds API for prices). Implied probabilities remove the bookmaker margin proportionally. A trend fact needs at least 5 matches and an 80% hit rate. Text is generated from these fields with several phrasings, and a section is dropped when its data is missing.
18+. For information only, not betting advice. Gamble responsibly and never bet more than you can afford to lose.
Will this prediction come true?