Lithuania vs Liechtenstein prediction and betting preview, 16 November 2026

UEFA Nations League (Soccer), 16 November 2026: Lithuania meet Liechtenstein at 17:00 UTC. Below you will find how each side has played lately, what happened when they faced each other before, where they stand in the table and what the bookmaker prices imply. The figures are read straight from our match database, and a section is left out when there is no data for it.

Odds and implied probability

The bookmaker prices Lithuania at 1.09, the draw at 8.50 and Liechtenstein at 20.00. Turned into probabilities, those three prices add up to 108.5%, so the bookmaker margin is 8.5%. With the margin removed, the implied chances are 84.5% for Lithuania, 10.8% for a draw and 4.6% for Liechtenstein. On these prices Lithuania are the favourite.

Recent form

Over the last 5 matches Lithuania won 2, drew 2 and lost 1. They scored 6 and let in 2, averaging 1.2 for and 0.4 against. Results, newest first: D L W D W.

Over the last 5 matches Liechtenstein won 0, drew 1 and lost 4. They scored 0 and let in 7, averaging 0.0 for and 1.4 against. Results, newest first: L L D L L.

Wins in this sample: 2 from 5 for Lithuania against 0 from 5 for Liechtenstein, so recent results favour Lithuania.

League position

In the UEFA Nations League table Lithuania sit in position 36 of 54: 4 points after 3 played, with 1 won, 1 drawn and 1 lost and a goal record of 3:2.

In the UEFA Nations League table Liechtenstein sit in position 48 of 54: 1 points after 3 played, with 0 won, 1 drawn and 2 lost and a goal record of 0:3.

Lithuania are 3 points ahead of Liechtenstein in the table.

Head to head

Earlier meetings on record: 1. Wins for Lithuania: 1, wins for Liechtenstein: 0. Scores added up to 2 in total, or 2.0 per game. The last of them: Liechtenstein 0:2 Lithuania, played on 24 September 2026.

Full list of meetings

Facts used

These trend facts cleared our bar of at least 5 matches and an 80% hit rate. They describe the past and do not predict the next match:

• Lithuania have not lost by two or more goals in 5 of their last 5 matches
• Lithuania are unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 matches
• Under 2.5 goals in 4 of Lithuania's last 5 matches
• Under 2.5 goals in 5 of Liechtenstein's last 5 matches
• Liechtenstein have lost 4 of their last 5 matches

Bet angles from the data

Each angle below is shown only because the data supports it. They are leanings drawn from past matches and prices, not forecasts, and no outcome is guaranteed.

Match result (1X2): Lithuania

The odds on Lithuania are 1.09, which after removing the margin implies a 84.5% chance. Supporting facts: Liechtenstein have lost 4 of their last 5 matches.

Total: under 2.5 goals

The recent data leans towards a tight game. Under 2.5 goals in 4 of Lithuania's last 5 matches. Under 2.5 goals in 5 of Liechtenstein's last 5 matches. Earlier meetings averaged 2.0 in total, against a line of 2.5.

Double chance (win or draw)

Lithuania are unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 matches. A double-chance bet covers a win or a draw, and the unbeaten run above is the data behind this angle.

Frequently asked questions

How this page is built

Results, tables and odds come from our match database (ESPN and football-data.org for fixtures and scores, The Odds API for prices). Implied probabilities remove the bookmaker margin proportionally. A trend fact needs at least 5 matches and an 80% hit rate. Text is generated from these fields with several phrasings, and a section is dropped when its data is missing.

18+. For information only, not betting advice. Gamble responsibly and never bet more than you can afford to lose.