Denmark vs Norway prediction and betting preview, 17 November 2026

Denmark take on Norway in the UEFA Nations League (Soccer) on 17 November 2026, with the start set for 19:45 UTC. This preview is assembled from the records we hold: recent results, earlier meetings, the league table and bookmaker odds where they exist. Every number on the page comes from those records and nothing is estimated beyond them.

Odds and implied probability

Current 1X2 odds are 2.40 for Denmark, 3.70 for a draw and 2.55 for Norway. The three implied probabilities total 107.9%, which means a margin of 7.9% is built into the prices. Remove it proportionally and the market is saying 38.6% Denmark, 25.0% draw and 36.3% Norway. Denmark are the shorter price, so the bookmaker rates them the favourite.

Recent form

Denmark have won 3, drawn 0 and lost 2 in their last 5 matches, scoring 11 and conceding 8, which is 2.2 scored and 1.6 conceded per match. The run, newest first: W W L W L.

Norway have won 2, drawn 0 and lost 3 in their last 5 matches, scoring 9 and conceding 9, which is 1.8 scored and 1.8 conceded per match. The run, newest first: W L L L W.

Recent results lean towards Denmark, who won 3 of 5, while Norway won 2 of 5.

League position

Denmark are in position 17 of 54 in the UEFA Nations League table with 9 points from 5 played (won 3, drew 0, lost 2; goals 11:8).

Norway are in position 30 of 54 in the UEFA Nations League table with 6 points from 5 played (won 2, drew 0, lost 3; goals 9:9).

Denmark are 3 points ahead of Norway in the table.

Head to head

Meetings between the two sides in our data: 1. Wins for Denmark: 0, wins for Norway: 1. The combined score total across those games is 5, an average of 5.0 per meeting. The most recent one finished Norway 3:2 Denmark on 24 September 2026.

Full list of meetings

Facts used

These trend facts cleared our bar of at least 5 matches and an 80% hit rate. They describe the past and do not predict the next match:

• Denmark have scored in 5 of their last 5 matches
• Over 1.5 goals in 4 of Denmark's last 5 matches
• Denmark have not lost by two or more goals in 4 of their last 5 matches
• Over 2.5 goals in 5 of Norway's last 5 matches
• Both teams scored in 5 of Norway's last 5 matches
• Norway have scored in 5 of their last 5 matches
• Over 1.5 goals in 5 of Norway's last 5 matches
• Norway have not lost by two or more goals in 5 of their last 5 matches

Bet angles from the data

Each angle below is shown only because the data supports it. They are leanings drawn from past matches and prices, not forecasts, and no outcome is guaranteed.

Match result (1X2): Denmark

Denmark are the market favourite at 2.40, an implied 38.6% chance once the bookmaker margin is removed. No trend fact backs this yet, so the price is the only support.

Total: over 2.5 goals

The form data points to a higher total. Over 2.5 goals in 5 of Norway's last 5 matches. Earlier meetings averaged 5.0 in total, against a line of 2.5.

Both teams to score

The data leans towards goals at both ends. Both teams scored in 5 of Norway's last 5 matches.

Frequently asked questions

How this page is built

Results, tables and odds come from our match database (ESPN and football-data.org for fixtures and scores, The Odds API for prices). Implied probabilities remove the bookmaker margin proportionally. A trend fact needs at least 5 matches and an 80% hit rate. Text is generated from these fields with several phrasings, and a section is dropped when its data is missing.

18+. For information only, not betting advice. Gamble responsibly and never bet more than you can afford to lose.