Ukraine vs Georgia prediction and betting preview, 17 November 2026
UEFA Nations League · Soccer · 17 November 2026, 19:45 UTC
Ukraine take on Georgia in the UEFA Nations League (Soccer) on 17 November 2026, with the start set for 19:45 UTC. This preview is assembled from the records we hold: recent results, earlier meetings, the league table and bookmaker odds where they exist. Every number on the page comes from those records and nothing is estimated beyond them.
Odds and implied probability
The bookmaker prices Ukraine at 2.15, the draw at 3.30 and Georgia at 3.15. Turned into probabilities, those three prices add up to 108.6%, so the bookmaker margin is 8.6%. With the margin removed, the implied chances are 42.8% for Ukraine, 27.9% for a draw and 29.2% for Georgia. The market makes Ukraine the favourite.
Recent form
Over the last 5 matches Ukraine won 1, drew 1 and lost 3. They scored 2 and let in 6, averaging 0.4 for and 1.2 against. Results, newest first: L L L D W.
Over the last 5 matches Georgia won 0, drew 2 and lost 3. They scored 0 and let in 4, averaging 0.0 for and 0.8 against. Results, newest first: L D L D L.
Wins in this sample: 1 from 5 for Ukraine against 0 from 5 for Georgia, so recent results favour Ukraine.
League position
In the UEFA Nations League table Ukraine sit in position 38 of 54: 4 points after 5 played, with 1 won, 1 drawn and 3 lost and a goal record of 2:6.
In the UEFA Nations League table Georgia sit in position 47 of 54: 2 points after 5 played, with 0 won, 2 drawn and 3 lost and a goal record of 0:4.
Ukraine are 2 points ahead of Georgia in the table.
Head to head
Earlier meetings on record: 1. Wins for Ukraine: 0, wins for Georgia: 0, draws: 1. Scores added up to 0 in total, or 0.0 per game. The last of them: Georgia 0:0 Ukraine, played on 28 September 2026.
Facts used
These trend facts cleared our bar of at least 5 matches and an 80% hit rate. They describe the past and do not predict the next match:
- Ukraine have not lost by two or more goals in 4 of their last 5 matches
- Under 2.5 goals in 5 of Georgia's last 5 matches
- Georgia have not lost by two or more goals in 4 of their last 5 matches
- Over 9.5 corners in 4 of Georgia's last 5 matches
Bet angles from the data
Each angle below is shown only because the data supports it. They are leanings drawn from past matches and prices, not forecasts, and no outcome is guaranteed.
Match result (1X2): Ukraine
The odds on Ukraine are 2.15, which after removing the margin implies a 42.8% chance. No trend fact backs this yet, so the price is the only support.
Total: under 2.5 goals
The recent data leans towards a tight game. Under 2.5 goals in 5 of Georgia's last 5 matches. Earlier meetings averaged 0.0 in total, against a line of 2.5.
Frequently asked questions
When is Ukraine vs Georgia?
Ukraine play Georgia on 17 November 2026, starting at 19:45 UTC, in the UEFA Nations League (Soccer).
Who is the favourite in Ukraine vs Georgia?
According to the odds, Ukraine are the favourite at 2.15. After the bookmaker margin is removed that is an implied chance of 42.8%, against 29.2% for Georgia.
How have Ukraine and Georgia played recently?
Ukraine won 1, drew 1 and lost 3 in their last 5 matches, and Georgia won 0, drew 2 and lost 3 in their last 5.
Have Ukraine and Georgia met before?
Yes. Previous meetings in our data: 1. Wins for Ukraine: 0, wins for Georgia: 0, draws: 1. The latest was Georgia 0:0 Ukraine on 28 September 2026.
Is this a guaranteed tip?
No. Sport is unpredictable and no result is guaranteed. This page shows facts from past matches and the probabilities implied by bookmaker odds, nothing more. Never stake money you cannot afford to lose.
How this page is built
Results, tables and odds come from our match database (ESPN and football-data.org for fixtures and scores, The Odds API for prices). Implied probabilities remove the bookmaker margin proportionally. A trend fact needs at least 5 matches and an 80% hit rate. Text is generated from these fields with several phrasings, and a section is dropped when its data is missing.
18+. For information only, not betting advice. Gamble responsibly and never bet more than you can afford to lose.
Will this prediction come true?