Grêmio vs Bahia prediction and betting preview, 19 November 2026
Brazilian Serie A · Soccer · 19 November 2026, 00:30 UTC
Grêmio take on Bahia in the Brazilian Serie A (Soccer) on 19 November 2026, with the start set for 00:30 UTC. This preview is assembled from the records we hold: recent results, earlier meetings, the league table and bookmaker odds where they exist. Every number on the page comes from those records and nothing is estimated beyond them.
Odds and implied probability
Current 1X2 odds are 2.20 for Grêmio, 3.50 for a draw and 2.95 for Bahia. The three implied probabilities total 107.9%, which means a margin of 7.9% is built into the prices. Remove it proportionally and the market is saying 42.1% Grêmio, 26.5% draw and 31.4% Bahia. The market makes Grêmio the favourite.
Recent form
Grêmio have won 2, drawn 1 and lost 2 in their last 5 matches, scoring 7 and conceding 8, which is 1.4 scored and 1.6 conceded per match. The run, newest first: L W W L D.
Bahia have won 2, drawn 1 and lost 2 in their last 5 matches, scoring 7 and conceding 9, which is 1.4 scored and 1.8 conceded per match. The run, newest first: L W D L W.
Grêmio and Bahia have the same win rate in this sample (2 from 5 and 2 from 5), so recent results alone do not separate them.
League position
Grêmio are in position 18 of 20 in the Brazilian Serie A table with 37 points from 34 played (won 9, drew 10, lost 15; goals 38:47).
Bahia are in position 6 of 20 in the Brazilian Serie A table with 53 points from 34 played (won 14, drew 11, lost 9; goals 50:45).
Bahia are 16 points ahead of Grêmio in the table.
Facts used
These trend facts cleared our bar of at least 5 matches and an 80% hit rate. They describe the past and do not predict the next match:
- Over 9.5 corners in 7 of Grêmio's last 7 matches
- Grêmio have scored in 6 of their last 6 matches
- Over 1.5 goals in 5 of Grêmio's last 6 matches
- Bahia have not lost by two or more goals in 6 of their last 7 matches
- Over 9.5 corners in 5 of Bahia's last 6 matches
- Bahia have scored in 4 of their last 5 matches
- Over 1.5 goals in 4 of Bahia's last 5 matches
Bet angles from the data
Each angle below is shown only because the data supports it. They are leanings drawn from past matches and prices, not forecasts, and no outcome is guaranteed.
Match result (1X2): Grêmio
Grêmio are the market favourite at 2.20, an implied 42.1% chance once the bookmaker margin is removed. No trend fact backs this yet, so the price is the only support.
Frequently asked questions
When is Grêmio vs Bahia?
Grêmio play Bahia on 19 November 2026, starting at 00:30 UTC, in the Brazilian Serie A (Soccer).
Who is the favourite in Grêmio vs Bahia?
According to the odds, Grêmio are the favourite at 2.20. After the bookmaker margin is removed that is an implied chance of 42.1%, against 31.4% for Bahia.
How have Grêmio and Bahia played recently?
Grêmio won 2, drew 1 and lost 2 in their last 5 matches, and Bahia won 2, drew 1 and lost 2 in their last 5.
Is this a guaranteed tip?
No. Sport is unpredictable and no result is guaranteed. This page shows facts from past matches and the probabilities implied by bookmaker odds, nothing more. Never stake money you cannot afford to lose.
How this page is built
Results, tables and odds come from our match database (ESPN and football-data.org for fixtures and scores, The Odds API for prices). Implied probabilities remove the bookmaker margin proportionally. A trend fact needs at least 5 matches and an 80% hit rate. Text is generated from these fields with several phrasings, and a section is dropped when its data is missing.
18+. For information only, not betting advice. Gamble responsibly and never bet more than you can afford to lose.
Will this prediction come true?