São Paulo vs Fluminense prediction and betting preview, 20 November 2026

Brazilian Serie A (Soccer), 20 November 2026: São Paulo meet Fluminense at 00:30 UTC. Below you will find how each side has played lately, what happened when they faced each other before, where they stand in the table and what the bookmaker prices imply. The figures are read straight from our match database, and a section is left out when there is no data for it.

Odds and implied probability

The bookmaker prices São Paulo at 2.30, the draw at 3.20 and Fluminense at 3.00. Turned into probabilities, those three prices add up to 108.1%, so the bookmaker margin is 8.1%. With the margin removed, the implied chances are 40.2% for São Paulo, 28.9% for a draw and 30.8% for Fluminense. São Paulo are the shorter price, so the bookmaker rates them the favourite.

Recent form

Over the last 5 matches São Paulo won 2, drew 2 and lost 1. They scored 6 and let in 5, averaging 1.2 for and 1.0 against. Results, newest first: D L D W W.

Over the last 5 matches Fluminense won 3, drew 0 and lost 2. They scored 8 and let in 5, averaging 1.6 for and 1.0 against. Results, newest first: W W L W L.

Wins in this sample: 3 from 5 for Fluminense against 2 from 5 for São Paulo, so recent results favour Fluminense.

League position

In the Brazilian Serie A table São Paulo sit in position 10 of 20: 44 points after 34 played, with 12 won, 8 drawn and 14 lost and a goal record of 39:39.

In the Brazilian Serie A table Fluminense sit in position 4 of 20: 57 points after 34 played, with 16 won, 9 drawn and 9 lost and a goal record of 55:42.

Fluminense are 13 points ahead of São Paulo in the table.

Facts used

These trend facts cleared our bar of at least 5 matches and an 80% hit rate. They describe the past and do not predict the next match:

• São Paulo have not lost by two or more goals in 6 of their last 6 home matches
• São Paulo are unbeaten in 5 of their last 6 home matches
• São Paulo have scored in 5 of their last 6 home matches
• Fluminense have not lost by two or more goals in 9 of their last 9 matches
• Fluminense have scored in 6 of their last 6 matches
• Over 2.5 goals in 5 of Fluminense's last 6 matches
• Over 1.5 goals in 5 of Fluminense's last 6 matches

Bet angles from the data

Each angle below is shown only because the data supports it. They are leanings drawn from past matches and prices, not forecasts, and no outcome is guaranteed.

Match result (1X2): São Paulo

The odds on São Paulo are 2.30, which after removing the margin implies a 40.2% chance. No trend fact backs this yet, so the price is the only support.

Total: over 2.5 goals

The recent data leans towards a game with goals. Over 2.5 goals in 5 of Fluminense's last 6 matches.

Double chance (win or draw)

São Paulo are unbeaten in 5 of their last 6 home matches. A double-chance bet covers a win or a draw, and the unbeaten run above is the data behind this angle.

Frequently asked questions

How this page is built

Results, tables and odds come from our match database (ESPN and football-data.org for fixtures and scores, The Odds API for prices). Implied probabilities remove the bookmaker margin proportionally. A trend fact needs at least 5 matches and an 80% hit rate. Text is generated from these fields with several phrasings, and a section is dropped when its data is missing.

18+. For information only, not betting advice. Gamble responsibly and never bet more than you can afford to lose.