Argentinos Juniors vs Independiente prediction and betting preview, 21 November 2026

Here is a data-driven look at Argentinos Juniors against Independiente, scheduled for 21 November 2026 at 20:00 UTC in the Argentine Liga Profesional de Fútbol (Soccer). We summarise the form of both teams, their previous meetings and the market odds, but only where real records exist. Treat it as background reading before you decide anything, not as a promise about the result.

Odds and implied probability

Current 1X2 odds are 1.95 for Argentinos Juniors, 3.10 for a draw and 4.00 for Independiente. The three implied probabilities total 108.5%, which means a margin of 8.5% is built into the prices. Remove it proportionally and the market is saying 47.2% Argentinos Juniors, 29.7% draw and 23.0% Independiente. On these prices Argentinos Juniors are the favourite.

Recent form

Argentinos Juniors have won 3, drawn 1 and lost 1 in their last 5 matches, scoring 5 and conceding 4, which is 1.0 scored and 0.8 conceded per match. The run, newest first: L W W W D.

Independiente have won 1, drawn 3 and lost 1 in their last 5 matches, scoring 4 and conceding 4, which is 0.8 scored and 0.8 conceded per match. The run, newest first: W D L D D.

Recent results lean towards Argentinos Juniors, who won 3 of 5, while Independiente won 1 of 5.

League position

Argentinos Juniors are in position 4 of 30 in the Argentine Liga Profesional de Fútbol table with 31 points from 16 played (won 9, drew 4, lost 3; goals 20:14).

Independiente are in position 13 of 30 in the Argentine Liga Profesional de Fútbol table with 23 points from 16 played (won 6, drew 5, lost 5; goals 15:16).

Argentinos Juniors are 8 points ahead of Independiente in the table.

Facts used

These trend facts cleared our bar of at least 5 matches and an 80% hit rate. They describe the past and do not predict the next match:

• Argentinos Juniors have not lost by two or more goals in 6 of their last 7 matches
• Argentinos Juniors are unbeaten in 5 of their last 6 matches
• Argentinos Juniors have scored in 5 of their last 6 matches
• Under 2.5 goals in 4 of Argentinos Juniors's last 5 matches
• Independiente have not lost by two or more goals in 5 of their last 5 matches
• Independiente are unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 matches
• Under 2.5 goals in 4 of Independiente's last 5 matches

Bet angles from the data

Each angle below is shown only because the data supports it. They are leanings drawn from past matches and prices, not forecasts, and no outcome is guaranteed.

Match result (1X2): Argentinos Juniors

Argentinos Juniors are the market favourite at 1.95, an implied 47.2% chance once the bookmaker margin is removed. No trend fact backs this yet, so the price is the only support.

Total: under 2.5 goals

The form data points to a lower total. Under 2.5 goals in 4 of Argentinos Juniors's last 5 matches. Under 2.5 goals in 4 of Independiente's last 5 matches.

Double chance (win or draw)

Argentinos Juniors are unbeaten in 5 of their last 6 matches. Independiente are unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 matches. A double-chance bet covers a win or a draw, and the unbeaten run above is the data behind this angle.

Frequently asked questions

How this page is built

Results, tables and odds come from our match database (ESPN and football-data.org for fixtures and scores, The Odds API for prices). Implied probabilities remove the bookmaker margin proportionally. A trend fact needs at least 5 matches and an 80% hit rate. Text is generated from these fields with several phrasings, and a section is dropped when its data is missing.

18+. For information only, not betting advice. Gamble responsibly and never bet more than you can afford to lose.