Kilmarnock vs Aberdeen prediction and betting preview, 21 November 2026
Scottish Premiership · Soccer · 21 November 2026, 15:00 UTC
Here is a data-driven look at Kilmarnock against Aberdeen, scheduled for 21 November 2026 at 15:00 UTC in the Scottish Premiership (Soccer). We summarise the form of both teams, their previous meetings and the market odds, but only where real records exist. Treat it as background reading before you decide anything, not as a promise about the result.
Odds and implied probability
Current 1X2 odds are 2.65 for Kilmarnock, 3.35 for a draw and 2.50 for Aberdeen. The three implied probabilities total 107.6%, which means a margin of 7.6% is built into the prices. Remove it proportionally and the market is saying 35.1% Kilmarnock, 27.7% draw and 37.2% Aberdeen. On these prices Aberdeen are the favourite.
Recent form
Kilmarnock have won 1, drawn 1 and lost 3 in their last 5 matches, scoring 6 and conceding 11, which is 1.2 scored and 2.2 conceded per match. The run, newest first: L D L L W.
Aberdeen have won 1, drawn 0 and lost 4 in their last 5 matches, scoring 5 and conceding 10, which is 1.0 scored and 2.0 conceded per match. The run, newest first: L L L W L.
Kilmarnock and Aberdeen have the same win rate in this sample (1 from 5 and 1 from 5), so recent results alone do not separate them.
League position
Kilmarnock are in position 12 of 12 in the Scottish Premiership table with 9 points from 13 played (won 2, drew 3, lost 8; goals 13:29).
Aberdeen are in position 11 of 12 in the Scottish Premiership table with 11 points from 12 played (won 3, drew 2, lost 7; goals 12:18).
Aberdeen are 2 points ahead of Kilmarnock in the table.
Facts used
These trend facts cleared our bar of at least 5 matches and an 80% hit rate. They describe the past and do not predict the next match:
- Over 1.5 goals in 6 of Kilmarnock's last 7 matches
- Over 2.5 goals in 5 of Kilmarnock's last 6 matches
- Over 9.5 corners in 5 of Kilmarnock's last 6 matches
- Aberdeen have not lost by two or more goals in 5 of their last 6 matches
- Aberdeen have lost 4 of their last 5 matches
Bet angles from the data
Each angle below is shown only because the data supports it. They are leanings drawn from past matches and prices, not forecasts, and no outcome is guaranteed.
Match result (1X2): Aberdeen
Aberdeen are the market favourite at 2.50, an implied 37.2% chance once the bookmaker margin is removed. No trend fact backs this yet, so the price is the only support.
Total: over 2.5 goals
The form data points to a higher total. Over 2.5 goals in 5 of Kilmarnock's last 6 matches.
Frequently asked questions
When is Kilmarnock vs Aberdeen?
Kilmarnock play Aberdeen on 21 November 2026, starting at 15:00 UTC, in the Scottish Premiership (Soccer).
Who is the favourite in Kilmarnock vs Aberdeen?
According to the odds, Aberdeen are the favourite at 2.50. After the bookmaker margin is removed that is an implied chance of 37.2%, against 35.1% for Kilmarnock.
How have Kilmarnock and Aberdeen played recently?
Kilmarnock won 1, drew 1 and lost 3 in their last 5 matches, and Aberdeen won 1, drew 0 and lost 4 in their last 5.
Is this a guaranteed tip?
No. Sport is unpredictable and no result is guaranteed. This page shows facts from past matches and the probabilities implied by bookmaker odds, nothing more. Never stake money you cannot afford to lose.
How this page is built
Results, tables and odds come from our match database (ESPN and football-data.org for fixtures and scores, The Odds API for prices). Implied probabilities remove the bookmaker margin proportionally. A trend fact needs at least 5 matches and an 80% hit rate. Text is generated from these fields with several phrasings, and a section is dropped when its data is missing.
18+. For information only, not betting advice. Gamble responsibly and never bet more than you can afford to lose.
Will this prediction come true?