Rayo Vallecano vs Valencia prediction and betting preview, 21 November 2026
Spanish LALIGA · Soccer · 21 November 2026, 15:15 UTC
Here is a data-driven look at Rayo Vallecano against Valencia, scheduled for 21 November 2026 at 15:15 UTC in the Spanish LALIGA (Soccer). We summarise the form of both teams, their previous meetings and the market odds, but only where real records exist. Treat it as background reading before you decide anything, not as a promise about the result.
Odds and implied probability
The bookmaker prices Rayo Vallecano at 1.95, the draw at 3.45 and Valencia at 3.80. Turned into probabilities, those three prices add up to 106.6%, so the bookmaker margin is 6.6%. With the margin removed, the implied chances are 48.1% for Rayo Vallecano, 27.2% for a draw and 24.7% for Valencia. The market makes Rayo Vallecano the favourite.
Recent form
Over the last 5 matches Rayo Vallecano won 2, drew 1 and lost 2. They scored 7 and let in 7, averaging 1.4 for and 1.4 against. Results, newest first: L W W L D.
Over the last 5 matches Valencia won 2, drew 1 and lost 2. They scored 8 and let in 5, averaging 1.6 for and 1.0 against. Results, newest first: W L W L D.
Rayo Vallecano and Valencia have the same win rate in this sample (2 from 5 and 2 from 5), so recent results alone do not separate them.
League position
In the Spanish LALIGA table Rayo Vallecano sit in position 14 of 20: 12 points after 11 played, with 3 won, 3 drawn and 5 lost and a goal record of 15:21.
In the Spanish LALIGA table Valencia sit in position 19 of 20: 9 points after 12 played, with 2 won, 3 drawn and 7 lost and a goal record of 8:20.
Rayo Vallecano are 3 points ahead of Valencia in the table.
Facts used
These trend facts cleared our bar of at least 5 matches and an 80% hit rate. They describe the past and do not predict the next match:
- Over 1.5 goals in 5 of Rayo Vallecano's last 6 matches
- Rayo Vallecano have not lost by two or more goals in 5 of their last 6 matches
- Valencia have not lost by two or more goals in 6 of their last 7 matches
Bet angles from the data
Each angle below is shown only because the data supports it. They are leanings drawn from past matches and prices, not forecasts, and no outcome is guaranteed.
Match result (1X2): Rayo Vallecano
The odds on Rayo Vallecano are 1.95, which after removing the margin implies a 48.1% chance. No trend fact backs this yet, so the price is the only support.
Frequently asked questions
When is Rayo Vallecano vs Valencia?
Rayo Vallecano play Valencia on 21 November 2026, starting at 15:15 UTC, in the Spanish LALIGA (Soccer).
Who is the favourite in Rayo Vallecano vs Valencia?
According to the odds, Rayo Vallecano are the favourite at 1.95. After the bookmaker margin is removed that is an implied chance of 48.1%, against 24.7% for Valencia.
How have Rayo Vallecano and Valencia played recently?
Rayo Vallecano won 2, drew 1 and lost 2 in their last 5 matches, and Valencia won 2, drew 1 and lost 2 in their last 5.
Is this a guaranteed tip?
No. Sport is unpredictable and no result is guaranteed. This page shows facts from past matches and the probabilities implied by bookmaker odds, nothing more. Never stake money you cannot afford to lose.
How this page is built
Results, tables and odds come from our match database (ESPN and football-data.org for fixtures and scores, The Odds API for prices). Implied probabilities remove the bookmaker margin proportionally. A trend fact needs at least 5 matches and an 80% hit rate. Text is generated from these fields with several phrasings, and a section is dropped when its data is missing.
18+. For information only, not betting advice. Gamble responsibly and never bet more than you can afford to lose.
Will this prediction come true?