Maritimo vs C.D. Nacional prediction and betting preview, 27 November 2026
Portuguese Primeira Liga · Soccer · 27 November 2026, 20:15 UTC
Here is a data-driven look at Maritimo against C.D. Nacional, scheduled for 27 November 2026 at 20:15 UTC in the Portuguese Primeira Liga (Soccer). We summarise the form of both teams, their previous meetings and the market odds, but only where real records exist. Treat it as background reading before you decide anything, not as a promise about the result.
Odds and implied probability
The bookmaker prices Maritimo at 2.15, the draw at 3.20 and C.D. Nacional at 3.30. Turned into probabilities, those three prices add up to 108.1%, so the bookmaker margin is 8.1%. With the margin removed, the implied chances are 43.0% for Maritimo, 28.9% for a draw and 28.0% for C.D. Nacional. Maritimo are the shorter price, so the bookmaker rates them the favourite.
Recent form
Over the last 4 matches Maritimo won 0, drew 1 and lost 3. They scored 2 and let in 10, averaging 0.5 for and 2.5 against. Results, newest first: L L L D.
Over the last 5 matches C.D. Nacional won 2, drew 0 and lost 3. They scored 4 and let in 8, averaging 0.8 for and 1.6 against. Results, newest first: W L W L L.
Wins in this sample: 2 from 5 for C.D. Nacional against 0 from 4 for Maritimo, so recent results favour C.D. Nacional.
League position
In the Portuguese Primeira Liga table Maritimo sit in position 15 of 18: 8 points after 10 played, with 2 won, 2 drawn and 6 lost and a goal record of 9:21.
In the Portuguese Primeira Liga table C.D. Nacional sit in position 13 of 18: 10 points after 11 played, with 3 won, 1 drawn and 7 lost and a goal record of 11:19.
C.D. Nacional are 2 points ahead of Maritimo in the table.
Facts used
These trend facts cleared our bar of at least 5 matches and an 80% hit rate. They describe the past and do not predict the next match:
- Over 9.5 corners in 5 of C.D. Nacional's last 5 matches
- C.D. Nacional have not lost by two or more goals in 4 of their last 5 matches
Bet angles from the data
Each angle below is shown only because the data supports it. They are leanings drawn from past matches and prices, not forecasts, and no outcome is guaranteed.
Match result (1X2): Maritimo
The odds on Maritimo are 2.15, which after removing the margin implies a 43.0% chance. No trend fact backs this yet, so the price is the only support.
Frequently asked questions
When is Maritimo vs C.D. Nacional?
Maritimo play C.D. Nacional on 27 November 2026, starting at 20:15 UTC, in the Portuguese Primeira Liga (Soccer).
Who is the favourite in Maritimo vs C.D. Nacional?
According to the odds, Maritimo are the favourite at 2.15. After the bookmaker margin is removed that is an implied chance of 43.0%, against 28.0% for C.D. Nacional.
How have Maritimo and C.D. Nacional played recently?
Maritimo won 0, drew 1 and lost 3 in their last 4 matches, and C.D. Nacional won 2, drew 0 and lost 3 in their last 5.
Is this a guaranteed tip?
No. Sport is unpredictable and no result is guaranteed. This page shows facts from past matches and the probabilities implied by bookmaker odds, nothing more. Never stake money you cannot afford to lose.
How this page is built
Results, tables and odds come from our match database (ESPN and football-data.org for fixtures and scores, The Odds API for prices). Implied probabilities remove the bookmaker margin proportionally. A trend fact needs at least 5 matches and an 80% hit rate. Text is generated from these fields with several phrasings, and a section is dropped when its data is missing.
18+. For information only, not betting advice. Gamble responsibly and never bet more than you can afford to lose.
Will this prediction come true?