Arouca vs Rio Ave prediction and betting preview, 28 November 2026
Portuguese Primeira Liga · Soccer · 28 November 2026, 15:30 UTC
Portuguese Primeira Liga (Soccer), 28 November 2026: Arouca meet Rio Ave at 15:30 UTC. Below you will find how each side has played lately, what happened when they faced each other before, where they stand in the table and what the bookmaker prices imply. The figures are read straight from our match database, and a section is left out when there is no data for it.
Odds and implied probability
Current 1X2 odds are 1.65 for Arouca, 3.75 for a draw and 4.90 for Rio Ave. The three implied probabilities total 107.7%, which means a margin of 7.7% is built into the prices. Remove it proportionally and the market is saying 56.3% Arouca, 24.8% draw and 19.0% Rio Ave. The market makes Arouca the favourite.
Recent form
Arouca have won 3, drawn 1 and lost 1 in their last 5 matches, scoring 5 and conceding 3, which is 1.0 scored and 0.6 conceded per match. The run, newest first: L W W W D.
Rio Ave have won 1, drawn 0 and lost 4 in their last 5 matches, scoring 4 and conceding 10, which is 0.8 scored and 2.0 conceded per match. The run, newest first: L L L W L.
Recent results lean towards Arouca, who won 3 of 5, while Rio Ave won 1 of 5.
League position
Arouca are in position 5 of 18 in the Portuguese Primeira Liga table with 20 points from 11 played (won 6, drew 2, lost 3; goals 13:8).
Rio Ave are in position 17 of 18 in the Portuguese Primeira Liga table with 7 points from 11 played (won 2, drew 1, lost 8; goals 9:24).
Arouca are 13 points ahead of Rio Ave in the table.
Facts used
These trend facts cleared our bar of at least 5 matches and an 80% hit rate. They describe the past and do not predict the next match:
- Arouca have not lost by two or more goals in 5 of their last 5 matches
- Arouca are unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 matches
- Under 2.5 goals in 4 of Arouca's last 5 matches
- Arouca have scored in 4 of their last 5 matches
- Rio Ave have lost 4 of their last 5 matches
- Rio Ave have not lost by two or more goals in 4 of their last 5 matches
Bet angles from the data
Each angle below is shown only because the data supports it. They are leanings drawn from past matches and prices, not forecasts, and no outcome is guaranteed.
Match result (1X2): Arouca
Arouca are the market favourite at 1.65, an implied 56.3% chance once the bookmaker margin is removed. Supporting facts: Rio Ave have lost 4 of their last 5 matches.
Total: under 2.5 goals
The form data points to a lower total. Under 2.5 goals in 4 of Arouca's last 5 matches.
Double chance (win or draw)
Arouca are unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 matches. A double-chance bet covers a win or a draw, and the unbeaten run above is the data behind this angle.
Frequently asked questions
When is Arouca vs Rio Ave?
Arouca play Rio Ave on 28 November 2026, starting at 15:30 UTC, in the Portuguese Primeira Liga (Soccer).
Who is the favourite in Arouca vs Rio Ave?
According to the odds, Arouca are the favourite at 1.65. After the bookmaker margin is removed that is an implied chance of 56.3%, against 19.0% for Rio Ave.
How have Arouca and Rio Ave played recently?
Arouca won 3, drew 1 and lost 1 in their last 5 matches, and Rio Ave won 1, drew 0 and lost 4 in their last 5.
Is this a guaranteed tip?
No. Sport is unpredictable and no result is guaranteed. This page shows facts from past matches and the probabilities implied by bookmaker odds, nothing more. Never stake money you cannot afford to lose.
How this page is built
Results, tables and odds come from our match database (ESPN and football-data.org for fixtures and scores, The Odds API for prices). Implied probabilities remove the bookmaker margin proportionally. A trend fact needs at least 5 matches and an 80% hit rate. Text is generated from these fields with several phrasings, and a section is dropped when its data is missing.
18+. For information only, not betting advice. Gamble responsibly and never bet more than you can afford to lose.
Will this prediction come true?